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As the diamond sector is in crisis and Petra Diamonds (PDL.L) needs to figure out how to refinance the $650M in debt (senior notes due in 2022), the company has completed its strategic review reaching one simple conclusion: Petra Diamonds is now available to be acquired by another (larger and preferably cash-rich) competitor as the company isn’t quite sure how to deal with its net debt of $596M as of the end of December 2019.
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In the first half of its financial year 2020 (which ended in June), Petra Diamonds reported an operating cash flow of just over $9M including working capital changes and approximately $36M before working capital changes. This was sufficient to cover all capex ($27M) and a loan advanced to a BEE partner ($11.3M) so although Petra isn’t bleeding cash, it also doesn’t look like it will be in a position to repay the debt in 2 years.
A cash-rich company that could pay off the debt would probably still be interested in Petra. Excluding the interest payments, the pre-WC operating cash flow actually was a very respectable $60M in H1 2020. At 1.8 pence, the market capitalization of Petra is just 15.6M GBP which is roughly 20M USD making the company an interesting speculative bet in case a buyer emerges that would value th company more than its enterprise value of less than $650M.
Disclosure: The author has no position in Petra Diamonds.